John Page wrote:
Er ... Bruce Anderson is a right-wing political commentator.
Your guess about voters' reaction is as good as mine. The VAT cut is getting the ridicule it deserves and gives the impression of a government out of touch with reality if it thinks that a 2.12% reduction in some prices will make any difference. My own guess is that people in the private sector are concerned about their security of employment, a concern which the budget will do nothing to allay. In that context, the dip in inflation you referred to is neither here nor there. Both Opposition parties are saying the crisis is serious. Sure, they differ over how to tackle it, but that shared starting point will reinforce voters' unease. The Conservatives need to keep stressing the vast amount of debt to be tackled.
Sorry to sully your forum with domestic political guesswork, but that was one of the themes of the post!
Yes ... but it's a left wing paper ... he's saying that and they're giving him house room!
And I agree that VAT cut is preposterous, and its going to create an awful lot of problems for businesses - especially given the extremely short time for implementation. However - and the point I am trying to make - is that the politically indifferent will view it differently from those who are politically aware.
That is the difference between the informed
judgement and the ill-informed
. Electorally, the latter is more important. Those who take their information in very limited chunks, who don't read newspapers (or blogs), switch over when the news comes on and who get their information second-hand probably outnumber by an order of magnitude those who study and analyse the news and keep abreast of politics.
Basically, the view "on the street" is that all politicians are a bunch of shysters, they all lie through their teeth and none can be trusted. The Tories, therefore, can "bang on" all they like - that comes into the category, "they would say that wouldn't they?" And come the election, many of the "ill-informed" will feel marginally better off. That effect - the ignorati
versus the chatterati
- could be significant.